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Page rebuilt · 2026-09-13 MLB; football 2026-09-13 through 2026-09-19
What do the numbers mean?
Model estimate: an experimental forecast. Historical hit rate: past results against this line, not a forecast. Market-implied chance: derived from all outcomes’ sportsbook prices with the margin removed. Price only: an available saved quote with no forecast. These measures are not interchangeable.
Research combinations. These are saved lines, not live odds. NFL percentages are experimental model estimates; MLB fractions show past hits. Prop combinations have no calculated all-win probability.
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Every pick marked “Added” is included. Remove a pick to update your parlay.
Automatic estimates for 2–6 standard PrizePicks props from different games. Power assumes all hit; Flex uses your chosen hit count. Demons and Goblins remain available for research, but are not priced by this calculator. Promotions can change the actual payout.
For sportsbook same-game parlays, use the combined price shown by the sportsbook.
Potential payout if every pick wins. Total return includes your stake; net profit excludes it. Saved odds may change. Same-game pricing, boosts, pushes and voids can change the sportsbook’s final payout.
Moneylines
3 picks · 17.2% all-win estimate*
College moneyline trio
1
Florida
Moneyline -126
NCAAF · vs Auburn · 2026-09-19
53.3%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Florida has a 53.3% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.7% for Auburn (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.7% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -126 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Virginia Tech
Moneyline -128
NCAAF · vs Maryland · 2026-09-19
53.6%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Virginia Tech has a 53.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.4% for Maryland (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -128 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Selected from the highest-ranked available moneylines in this sport, with a different game for each leg. Market estimates; independent-game approximation. Alternatives can share picks.
Replaces your current calculator picks. Review saved lines before using.
Moneylines
3 picks · 43.1% all-win estimate*
3-moneyline NFL combination
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: PHI Eagles has a 68.5% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 31.5% for WAS Commanders (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 31.5% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -250 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 4 wins, 4 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 20.1 points scored and 16.6 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Market estimates; independent-game approximation. Alternatives can share picks.
Standard
2 picks
2-prop NFL combination
1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Standard
3 picks
3-prop NFL combination
1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Dawson Knox
More 13.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BUF · vs HOU · 2026-09-13
77.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
32302430103793281723
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 13.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Kincaid ahead on current depth chart; upcoming target share unverified
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-17.
Average: 24.30; last five: 25.20.
In this sample: 16 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 10.80 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.90 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Moneylines
3 picks · 24.7% all-win estimate*
3-moneyline MLB combination
1
New York Yankees
Moneyline -184
MLB · vs New York Mets · 2026-09-13
62.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: New York Yankees has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for New York Mets (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 85–63; listed probable starter Cam Schlittler. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Christian Scott. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Boston Red Sox has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for Kansas City Royals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 81–68; listed probable starter Payton Tolle. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 66–83; listed probable starter Noah Cameron. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Market estimates; independent-game approximation. Alternatives can share picks.
Standard
2 picks
2-prop MLB combination
1
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
2
Chase Burns
More 4 Ks
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
15/18historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5758869462
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.72; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 1 below, 2 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.72 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.12 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Standard
3 picks
3-prop MLB combination
1
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
2
Chase Burns
More 4 Ks
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
15/18historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5758869462
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.72; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 1 below, 2 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.72 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.12 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Bryce Miller
More 4.5 Ks
MLB / SEA · vs ATH · 2026-09-13
12/17historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
6353553063
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 5.53; last five: 4.40.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.03 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.13 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Moneylines
3 picks · 17.2% all-win estimate*
3-moneyline College football combination
1
Florida
Moneyline -126
NCAAF · vs Auburn · 2026-09-19
53.3%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Florida has a 53.3% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.7% for Auburn (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.7% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -126 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Virginia Tech
Moneyline -128
NCAAF · vs Maryland · 2026-09-19
53.6%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Virginia Tech has a 53.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.4% for Maryland (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -128 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Market estimates; independent-game approximation. Alternatives can share picks.
Moneylines
2 picks · 51.1% all-win estimate*
2-leg mixed: NFL + MLB moneylines
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Market estimates; independent-game approximation. Alternatives can share picks.
Moneylines
2 picks · 48.1% all-win estimate*
2-leg mixed: NFL + College football moneylines
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Market estimates; independent-game approximation. Alternatives can share picks.
Moneylines
2 picks · 38.4% all-win estimate*
2-leg mixed: MLB + College football moneylines
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Market estimates; independent-game approximation. Alternatives can share picks.
Standard
2 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 NFL ML + 1 MLB prop
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 NFL ML + 1 MLB prop
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 NFL ML + 2 MLB props
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Chase Burns
More 4 Ks
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
15/18historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5758869462
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.72; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 1 below, 2 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.72 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.12 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
2 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 MLB ML + 1 NFL prop
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 MLB ML + 1 NFL prop
1
New York Yankees
Moneyline -184
MLB · vs New York Mets · 2026-09-13
62.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: New York Yankees has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for New York Mets (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 85–63; listed probable starter Cam Schlittler. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Christian Scott. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 MLB ML + 2 NFL props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
2 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 College football ML + 1 NFL prop
1
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 College football ML + 1 NFL prop
1
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Virginia Tech
Moneyline -128
NCAAF · vs Maryland · 2026-09-19
53.6%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Virginia Tech has a 53.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.4% for Maryland (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -128 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Standard
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 College football ML + 2 NFL props
1
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Moneylines
3 picks · 30.7% all-win estimate*
3-game all-sport moneyline parlay
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Assumes independent games; market estimates, not guarantees. These alternatives overlap.
Moneylines
4 picks · 24.2% all-win estimate*
4-game all-sport moneyline parlay
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Assumes independent games; market estimates, not guarantees. These alternatives overlap.
Moneylines
5 picks · 16.6% all-win estimate*
5-game all-sport moneyline parlay
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: PHI Eagles has a 68.5% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 31.5% for WAS Commanders (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 31.5% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -250 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 4 wins, 4 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 20.1 points scored and 16.6 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Assumes independent games; market estimates, not guarantees. These alternatives overlap.
Standard
2 picks
2-prop research combination
1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. NFL and MLB figures have different foundations; current roles and availability unverified.
Standard
3 picks
3-prop research combination
1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. NFL and MLB figures have different foundations; current roles and availability unverified.
Standard
3 picks
3-prop alternative: 1 NFL + 2 MLB
1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Chase Burns
More 4 Ks
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
15/18historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5758869462
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.72; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 1 below, 2 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.72 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.12 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. Different player allocation, not an independently validated alternative.
Standard
4 picks
2 moneylines + 2 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Standard
5 picks
2 moneylines + 3 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Standard
5 picks
3 moneylines + 2 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Standard
6 picks
3 moneylines + 3 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
6
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Standard
30 picks
Top 30 NFL props
1
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Less 7.5 Rec Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
83.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000005030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 11.5 Rec Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
78.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
001602005-30
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 11.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 4.94; last five: 3.60.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.56 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.34 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Dawson Knox
More 13.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BUF · vs HOU · 2026-09-13
77.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
32302430103793281723
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 13.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Kincaid ahead on current depth chart; upcoming target share unverified
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-17.
Average: 24.30; last five: 25.20.
In this sample: 16 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 10.80 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.90 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Chuba Hubbard
Less 56.5 Rush Yards
NFL / CAR · vs CHI · 2026-09-13
77.1%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
46101227298316211417
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 56.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 43.80; last five: 24.80.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.70 below the current line. The last-five average is 19.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
6
Michael Mayer
Less 39.5 Rec Yards
NFL / LV · vs MIA · 2026-09-13
76.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
4789100141322261050
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 39.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 22.90; last five: 32.00.
In this sample: 4 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 16.60 below the current line. The last-five average is 9.10 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
7
J.K. Dobbins
More 50.5 Rush Yards
NFL / DEN · vs KC · 2026-09-14
75.1%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
7761111814079101837663
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 50.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 10 games; latest history: 2025-11-06.
Average: 77.20; last five: 74.00.
In this sample: 9 above the line, 1 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.70 above the current line. The last-five average is 3.20 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
8
Jakobi Meyers
More 35.5 Rec Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
74.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
12443945713990506441
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 35.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 10 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 49.50; last five: 42.20.
In this sample: 9 above the line, 1 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 14.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.30 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
9
Luther Burden III
Less 56.5 Rec Yards
NFL / CHI · vs CAR · 2026-09-13
74.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
244235138846733462751
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 56.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload differs substantially from earlier history
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-18.
Average: 42.24; last five: 64.60.
In this sample: 4 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 14.26 below the current line. The last-five average is 22.36 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
10
Jacoby Brissett
More 222.5 Pass Yards
NFL / ARI · vs LAC · 2026-09-13
72.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
243212203249271301317452258261
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 222.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 12 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 280.50; last five: 235.60.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 58.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 44.90 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
11
Rashod Bateman
Less 26.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BAL · vs IND · 2026-09-13
71.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
702301013518024
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 26.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload differs substantially from earlier history
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-27.
Average: 26.95; last five: 8.00.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.45 above the current line. The last-five average is 18.95 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
12
Omarion Hampton
Less 67.5 Rush Yards
NFL / LAC · vs ARI · 2026-09-13
71.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
-12985615644128702448
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 67.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 10 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 54.40; last five: 46.00.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 13.10 below the current line. The last-five average is 8.40 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
13
Aaron Jones Sr.
More 29.5 Rush Yards
NFL / MIN · vs GB · 2026-09-13
70.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
5385347634170477815
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 29.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 52.10; last five: 50.20.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 22.60 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.90 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
14
Tre Tucker
Less 46.5 Rec Yards
NFL / LV · vs MIA · 2026-09-13
70.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
3049430242028472838
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 46.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 39.25; last five: 29.20.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.25 below the current line. The last-five average is 10.05 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
15
Jahmyr Gibbs
Less 83.5 Rush Yards
NFL / DET · vs NO · 2026-09-13
68.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
804123843682193914225
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 83.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 79.20; last five: 40.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.30 below the current line. The last-five average is 38.40 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
16
Bryce Young
Less 208.5 Pass Yards
NFL / CAR · vs CHI · 2026-09-13
68.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
26426654191163206169448124102
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 208.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Opponent personnel changed; a current matchup adjustment is unavailable
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 194.35; last five: 187.60.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 14.15 below the current line. The last-five average is 6.75 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
17
Jayden Daniels
More 204.5 Pass Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
67.8%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
15315621123120023325529926838
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 204.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-11-02.
Average: 215.35; last five: 190.20.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 10.85 above the current line. The last-five average is 25.15 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
18
Justin Jefferson
Less 75.5 Rec Yards
NFL / MIN · vs GB · 2026-09-13
67.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
10130852211448613747
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 75.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 62.60; last five: 49.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.90 below the current line. The last-five average is 12.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
19
Jordan Mason
Less 4.5 Rec Yards
NFL / MIN · vs GB · 2026-09-13
67.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0600100613
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 4.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 3.19; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.31 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.79 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
20
Ladd McConkey
Less 56.5 Rec Yards
NFL / LAC · vs ARI · 2026-09-13
67.4%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
323143201239131075688
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 56.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload differs substantially from earlier history
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 60.35; last five: 27.60.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.85 above the current line. The last-five average is 32.75 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
21
Woody Marks
Less 9.5 Rec Yards
NFL / HOU · vs BUF · 2026-09-13
67.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
19004883-5718
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 9.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-01-18.
Average: 12.61; last five: 6.20.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.11 above the current line. The last-five average is 6.41 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
22
Bucky Irving
More 57.5 Rush Yards
NFL / TB · vs CIN · 2026-09-13
67.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
85197160556163667137
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 57.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-03.
Average: 69.60; last five: 58.00.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 11.60 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
23
DeVonta Smith
Less 67.5 Rec Yards
NFL / PHI · vs WAS · 2026-09-13
67.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
7052254250374889869
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 67.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 59.60; last five: 47.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.90 below the current line. The last-five average is 11.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
24
Tyler Warren
Less 45.5 Rec Yards
NFL / IND · vs BAL · 2026-09-13
66.8%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
26433019152245992653
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 45.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 48.06; last five: 26.60.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.56 above the current line. The last-five average is 21.46 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
25
Malik Nabers
More 58.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYG · vs DAL · 2026-09-13
66.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
2013167716417168827969
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 58.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2025-09-28.
Average: 78.28; last five: 67.00.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 19.78 above the current line. The last-five average is 11.28 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
26
Breece Hall
Less 20.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
66.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
1891408756421414
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 20.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-28.
Average: 21.60; last five: 9.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 11.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
27
Matthew Golden
Less 38.5 Rec Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
66.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
848120550249437
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 38.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 15 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 29.67; last five: 31.80.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 8.83 below the current line. The last-five average is 2.13 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
28
James Cook III
Less 19.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BUF · vs HOU · 2026-09-13
66.1%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
2450317431331366
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 19.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-17.
Average: 18.45; last five: 9.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.05 below the current line. The last-five average is 8.65 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
29
Patrick Mahomes
More 228.5 Pass Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
65.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
189160261352276250299286257318
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 228.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-14.
Average: 250.25; last five: 247.60.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 21.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.65 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
30
Calvin Ridley
More 27.5 Rec Yards
NFL / TEN · vs NYJ · 2026-09-13
65.8%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
131813130275727768478
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 27.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-11-16.
Average: 58.95; last five: 43.80.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 31.45 above the current line. The last-five average is 15.15 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Sorted by NFL experimental estimate. Details and source flags are in Player notes.
Standard
30 picks
Top 30 MLB props
1
Matthew Boyd
Less 5.5 Ks
MLB / CHC · vs PIT · 2026-09-13
12/14historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
7353233544
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
2
Chase Burns
More 4 Ks
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
15/18historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5758869462
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.72; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 1 below, 2 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.72 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.12 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Bryce Miller
More 4.5 Ks
MLB / SEA · vs ATH · 2026-09-13
12/17historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
6353553063
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 5.53; last five: 4.40.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.03 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.13 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 3.40.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.47 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.77 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against TOR this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-06-06: 0, 2026-06-05: 4, 2026-05-30: 1, 2026-05-29: 0, 2026-05-28: 4. Average 2.17 TB over 6 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Coby Mayo vs Dylan Cease (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 2 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.60; last five: 4.20.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.60 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
6
Jackson Chourio
More 5.5 Hitter FS
MLB / MIL · vs CIN · 2026-09-13
21/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1126272914657027
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 5.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 11.40; last five: 21.40.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 5.90 above the current line. The last-five average is 10.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.63 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
7
Nathan Church
More 4 Hitter FS
MLB / STL · vs CWS · 2026-09-13
21/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1375775510310
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 6.70; last five: 7.80.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.70 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.10 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.93 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
8
Ha-Seong Kim
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / ATL · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
21/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0120002300
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.43; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 9 above the line, 21 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.07 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.17 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
9
Alec Burleson
Less 1.5 TB
MLB / STL · vs CWS · 2026-09-13
20/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0301441100
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.53; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.03 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.20 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CWS this season: 2026-09-11: 3. Average 3.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.73; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
No qualifying previous hitting game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.73; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.33 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
12
Agustín Ramírez
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / MIA · vs LAD · 2026-09-13
18/28historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0200040120
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 28 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.79; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.29 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.39 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.00 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against LAD this season: 2026-09-12: 0, 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-04-28: 0, 2026-04-27: 1. Average 0.75 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Agustín Ramírez vs Emmet Sheehan: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.47; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.03 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.53 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.17 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-12: 1, 2026-05-27: 1, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-05-25: 4, 2026-04-22: 1, 2026-04-21: 5, 2026-04-20: 4. Average 2.29 TB over 7 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Shea Langeliers vs Bryce Miller (2021–2025 only): 2 hits / 10 AB, 2 HR, 4 K, 0 BB over 10 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.30; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.20 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.70 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 4, 2026-05-26: 1, 2026-05-25: 1, 2026-04-22: 2, 2026-04-21: 2. Average 1.40 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Julio Rodríguez vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 1 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.40; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.90 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.40 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Oracle Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.44 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SD this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-08-02: 0, 2026-08-01: 0, 2026-07-31: 1, 2026-07-30: 1, 2026-05-05: 0, 2026-03-31: 0. Average 0.29 TB over 7 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Christian Koss vs Nick Pivetta (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 5 AB, 0 HR, 3 K, 0 BB over 6 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 13 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 5.31; last five: 6.40.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.19 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.09 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
17
Austin Wells
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / NYY · vs NYM · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0000000021
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.77; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.07 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYM this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-05-17: 0, 2026-05-16: 1, 2026-05-15: 0. Average 0.25 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Austin Wells vs Christian Scott: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.83 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Truist Park. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 8.94 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 101; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATL this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-07: 5, 2026-09-06: 4, 2026-09-05: 5, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-04-26: 4, 2026-04-25: 3, 2026-04-24: 0, 2026-04-19: 6, 2026-04-18: 1. Average 2.80 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Kyle Schwarber vs Grant Holmes (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 3 AB, 0 HR, 2 K, 1 BB over 4 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.45; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.95 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.85 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.70 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
20
Dylan Beavers
More 0.5 TB
MLB / BAL · vs TOR · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0530201012
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.50; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against TOR this season: 2026-09-11: 5. Average 5.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Dylan Beavers vs Dylan Cease (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.83 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-04: 5. Average 2.00 TB over 3 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Richie Palacios vs Hayden Wesneski: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.83; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.17 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.03 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
23
Randy Arozarena
Less 1.5 TB
MLB / SEA · vs ATH · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5102121021
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.07; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.57 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.27 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-09-06: 2, 2026-09-05: 1, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 1, 2026-05-26: 1, 2026-05-25: 7, 2026-04-22: 3, 2026-04-21: 1. Average 1.90 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Randy Arozarena vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 2 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-09.
Average: 1.50; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.10 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.45 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-03: 1. Average 0.33 TB over 3 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brian Serven vs Bryce Miller: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.93; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.27 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-05-10: 0, 2026-05-09: 0, 2026-05-08: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 6 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Weston Wilson vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 3 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 3 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 5.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 8.53; last five: 16.40.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.03 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.87 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
27
Victor Mesa Jr.
More 4.5 Hitter FS
MLB / TB · vs HOU · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
9211421151211700
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 8.13; last five: 16.00.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.63 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.87 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
28
Brandon Valenzuela
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / TOR · vs BAL · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0000022100
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-09.
Average: 0.77; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.57 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
29
Samuel Basallo
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / BAL · vs TOR · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0102000102
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.90; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
30
Taylor Trammell
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0121020203
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.83; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Sorted by historical hit rate, not a verified future probability. Equality to the line is reported in source notes.
Moneylines
5 picks
Top 5 NFL moneylines
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: PHI Eagles has a 68.5% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 31.5% for WAS Commanders (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 31.5% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -250 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 4 wins, 4 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 20.1 points scored and 16.6 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: PIT Steelers has a 66.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 33.1% for ATL Falcons (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 33.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -230 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 23.1 points scored and 20.9 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: CIN Bengals has a 64.1% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 35.9% for TB Buccaneers (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 35.9% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -200 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 3 wins, 5 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 24.8 points scored and 24.0 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Market-implied estimates with margin removed; saved quotes, not live odds.
Moneylines
5 picks
Top 5 MLB moneylines
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: New York Yankees has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for New York Mets (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 85–63; listed probable starter Cam Schlittler. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Christian Scott. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Boston Red Sox has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for Kansas City Royals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 81–68; listed probable starter Payton Tolle. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 66–83; listed probable starter Noah Cameron. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Toronto Blue Jays has a 58.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 41.4% for Baltimore Orioles (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 41.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -156 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 74–75; listed probable starter Dylan Cease. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 72–77; listed probable starter Trevor Rogers. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Los Angeles Dodgers has a 57.1% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 42.9% for Miami Marlins (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 42.9% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -146 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Market-implied estimates with margin removed; saved quotes, not live odds.
Moneylines
6 picks
Top 10 College football moneylines
1
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Virginia Tech
Moneyline -128
NCAAF · vs Maryland · 2026-09-19
53.6%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Virginia Tech has a 53.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.4% for Maryland (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -128 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Florida
Moneyline -126
NCAAF · vs Auburn · 2026-09-19
53.3%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Florida has a 53.3% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.7% for Auburn (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.7% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -126 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Auburn
Moneyline +105
NCAAF · vs Florida · 2026-09-19
46.7%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Auburn has a 46.7% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 53.3% for Florida (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 53.3% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved +105 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Maryland
Moneyline +106
NCAAF · vs Virginia Tech · 2026-09-19
46.4%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Maryland has a 46.4% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 53.6% for Virginia Tech (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 53.6% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved +106 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
6
Colorado
Moneyline +140
NCAAF · vs Northwestern · 2026-09-19
39.8%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Colorado has a 39.8% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 60.2% for Northwestern (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 60.2% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved +140 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Market-implied estimates with margin removed. College matchups outside -800 to +1000 are excluded.
Standard
10 picks
Top 10 NFL defense matchups
1
Zay Flowers
Less 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / BAL · vs IND · 2026-09-13
56.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
001802011560
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 3.70; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.20 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Brashard Smith
Less 5.5 Rec Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
65.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
25400031800
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 10.12; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.62 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.92 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Tyjae Spears
More 16.5 Rec Yards
NFL / TEN · vs NYJ · 2026-09-13
52.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
9-1532282521313623
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 16.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 20.60; last five: 18.20.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.40 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Patrick Mahomes
More 15.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
58.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
155930303530283260
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 15.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-14.
Average: 28.15; last five: 27.40.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.65 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.75 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Tucker Kraft
Less 45.5 Rec Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
60.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
2014358435629124162636
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 45.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-11-02.
Average: 49.55; last five: 64.00.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.05 above the current line. The last-five average is 14.45 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
6
Chris Brooks
Less 5.5 Rec Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
55.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
110110669500
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 5.55; last five: 5.60.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.05 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.05 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
7
Derrick Henry
Less 5.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BAL · vs IND · 2026-09-13
52.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000844241992
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 8.65; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.15 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.05 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
8
Baker Mayfield
More 16.5 Rush Yards
NFL / TB · vs CIN · 2026-09-13
53.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
31164914227193900
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 16.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-03.
Average: 23.75; last five: 27.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.25 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.05 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
9
Jordan Love
Less 238.5 Pass Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
61.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
32377276234234139174176273360
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 238.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 217.60; last five: 228.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 20.90 below the current line. The last-five average is 11.20 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
10
Quinshon Judkins
Less 58.5 Rush Yards
NFL / CLE · vs JAC · 2026-09-13
52.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
22212691475975198436
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 58.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2025-12-21.
Average: 59.07; last five: 41.40.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.57 above the current line. The last-five average is 17.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Positive matchup support with model estimate at least 50%. Sorted by smoothed position allowance, not win probability. #1 defense allows fewest yards. Prior-season samples may not reflect current personnel.
Goblin
0 picks
2-prop NFL combination
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3-prop NFL combination
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
2 picks
2-prop MLB combination
1
Hayden WesneskiGoblin
More 2.5 Ks
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
8/8historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
35646444
Last 8 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 2.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 8 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 4.50; last five: 4.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 0 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 7.60; last five: 7.60.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous starts against NYM this season: 2026-05-15: 9. Average 9.00 Ks over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Goblin
3 picks
3-prop MLB combination
1
Hayden WesneskiGoblin
More 2.5 Ks
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
8/8historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
35646444
Last 8 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 2.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 8 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 4.50; last five: 4.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 0 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 7.60; last five: 7.60.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous starts against NYM this season: 2026-05-15: 9. Average 9.00 Ks over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 26 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYM this season: 2026-09-11: 5, 2026-05-17: 1, 2026-05-16: 0, 2026-05-15: 2. Average 2.00 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Cody Bellinger vs Christian Scott: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Goblin
2 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 NFL ML + 1 MLB prop
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 8 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 2.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 8 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 4.50; last five: 4.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 0 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Goblin
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 NFL ML + 1 MLB prop
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 8 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 2.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 8 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 4.50; last five: 4.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 0 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Goblin
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 NFL ML + 2 MLB props
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 8 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 2.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 8 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 4.50; last five: 4.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 0 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 7.60; last five: 7.60.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous starts against NYM this season: 2026-05-15: 9. Average 9.00 Ks over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Goblin
0 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 MLB ML + 1 NFL prop
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 MLB ML + 1 NFL prop
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 MLB ML + 2 NFL props
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 College football ML + 1 NFL prop
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 College football ML + 1 NFL prop
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 College football ML + 2 NFL props
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
2-prop research combination
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3-prop research combination
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3-prop alternative: 1 NFL + 2 MLB
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
2 moneylines + 2 props
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
2 moneylines + 3 props
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3 moneylines + 2 props
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
3 moneylines + 3 props
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
0 picks
Top 30 NFL props
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Goblin
30 picks
Top 30 MLB props
1
Hayden WesneskiGoblin
More 2.5 Ks
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
8/8historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
35646444
Last 8 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 2.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 8 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 4.50; last five: 4.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 0 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 7.60; last five: 7.60.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous starts against NYM this season: 2026-05-15: 9. Average 9.00 Ks over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 26 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYM this season: 2026-09-11: 5, 2026-05-17: 1, 2026-05-16: 0, 2026-05-15: 2. Average 2.00 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Cody Bellinger vs Christian Scott: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 3.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.64; last five: 4.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.14 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.04 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
5
Nathan ChurchGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / STL · vs CWS · 2026-09-13
25/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4111211112
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 25 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.43 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.93 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CWS this season: 2026-09-11: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 25 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.93 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.33 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
7
Brett BatemanGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / TOR · vs BAL · 2026-09-13
24/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4621031131
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.80; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.80 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.63 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 6. Average 6.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brett Bateman vs Trevor Rogers: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.37 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-04: 5, 2026-07-03: 4. Average 3.25 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Junior Caminero vs Hayden Wesneski: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.60; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.17 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BOS this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-05-20: 6, 2026-05-19: 0, 2026-05-18: 0. Average 2.00 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Salvador Perez vs Payton Tolle: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.37; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.17 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BOS this season: 2026-09-12: 0, 2026-05-20: 2, 2026-05-19: 0, 2026-05-18: 4. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Jac Caglianone vs Payton Tolle: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Oracle Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.44 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SD this season: 2026-09-11: 3, 2026-08-02: 1, 2026-08-01: 2, 2026-07-31: 0, 2026-07-30: 2, 2026-05-06: 0, 2026-05-05: 1, 2026-05-04: 0. Average 1.12 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Bryce Eldridge vs Nick Pivetta: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
13
Drake BaldwinGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / ATL · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
23/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
2314103210
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.37 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Truist Park. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 8.94 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 101; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against PHI this season: 2026-09-11: 3, 2026-09-07: 0, 2026-09-06: 3, 2026-09-05: 2, 2026-09-04: 1, 2026-04-26: 2, 2026-04-25: 1, 2026-04-24: 0, 2026-04-19: 0, 2026-04-18: 1. Average 1.30 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Drake Baldwin vs Andrew Painter: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.20 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Alejandro Kirk vs Trevor Rogers (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 5 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 6 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.43; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.93 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-06-07: 3, 2026-06-06: 2, 2026-06-05: 1, 2026-05-31: 0, 2026-05-30: 0, 2026-05-29: 0, 2026-05-28: 4. Average 1.25 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Andrés Giménez vs Trevor Rogers (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 4 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 4 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.63; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.13 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.43 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.87 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-06-07: 1, 2026-06-06: 1, 2026-06-05: 0, 2026-05-31: 2, 2026-05-30: 1, 2026-05-29: 2, 2026-05-28: 1. Average 1.12 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Nathan Lukes vs Trevor Rogers: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against LAD this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-04-29: 1, 2026-04-28: 0, 2026-04-27: 0. Average 1.25 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Javier Sanoja vs Emmet Sheehan: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against LAD this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-04-29: 1, 2026-04-28: 4, 2026-04-27: 2. Average 2.75 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Otto Lopez vs Emmet Sheehan: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.57 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-03: 1. Average 0.33 TB over 3 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Yandy Díaz vs Hayden Wesneski (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 3 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.30; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.80 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-05: 1. Average 0.50 TB over 2 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Chandler Simpson vs Hayden Wesneski: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.33; last five: 4.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.83 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.63 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
22
Miguel VargasGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / CWS · vs STL · 2026-09-13
23/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1100021420
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.43 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
23
Lawrence ButlerGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / ATH · vs SEA · 2026-09-13
23/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0700004121
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.23 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
24
Eury PérezGoblin
More 4.5 Ks
MLB / MIA · vs LAD · 2026-09-13
13/17historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5354579629
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 5.71; last five: 4.40.
In this sample: 13 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.21 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.31 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.00; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.50 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
26
Spencer JonesGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / NYY · vs NYM · 2026-09-13
22/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
2232023105
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.73; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.67 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYM this season: 2026-09-12: 2, 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-05-17: 0, 2026-05-15: 2. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Spencer Jones vs Christian Scott: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.63; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.13 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.23 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.33 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYY this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-05-17: 1, 2026-05-16: 4, 2026-05-15: 0. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Carson Benge vs Cam Schlittler: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.10; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.60 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.70 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
29
Isaac ParedesGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
22/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4215102221
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.73; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.87 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
30
Rafael DeversGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
22/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4404188054
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.70; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.20 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.10 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Oracle Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.44 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SD this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-08-02: 4, 2026-08-01: 2, 2026-07-31: 0, 2026-07-30: 3, 2026-05-06: 4, 2026-05-05: 1, 2026-05-04: 1, 2026-04-01: 0, 2026-03-31: 2. Average 2.10 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Rafael Devers vs Nick Pivetta (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 5 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 1 BB over 6 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Sorted by historical hit rate, not a verified future probability. Equality to the line is reported in source notes.
Goblin
0 picks
Top 10 NFL defense matchups
Not enough eligible selections for this combination.
Demon
2 picks
2-prop NFL combination
1
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Demon
3 picks
3-prop NFL combination
1
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Luther Burden IIIDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / CHI · vs CAR · 2026-09-13
29.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0-41000331500
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-18.
Average: 1.94; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.44 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.74 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Demon
2 picks
2-prop MLB combination
1
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
2
Rafael DeversDemon
More 7.5 Hitter FS
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
16220183303402322
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 7.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 12.47; last five: 11.80.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.97 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Demon
3 picks
3-prop MLB combination
1
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
2
Rafael DeversDemon
More 7.5 Hitter FS
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
16220183303402322
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 7.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 12.47; last five: 11.80.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.97 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Cody BellingerDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / NYY · vs NYM · 2026-09-13
17/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5544211033
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 17 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Distinct players. Same-game dependencies may occur; no joint win probability is calculated.
Demon
2 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 NFL ML + 1 MLB prop
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 NFL ML + 1 MLB prop
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 NFL ML + 2 MLB props
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Rafael DeversDemon
More 7.5 Hitter FS
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
16220183303402322
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 7.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 12.47; last five: 11.80.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.97 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
2 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 MLB ML + 1 NFL prop
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 MLB ML + 1 NFL prop
1
New York Yankees
Moneyline -184
MLB · vs New York Mets · 2026-09-13
62.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: New York Yankees has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for New York Mets (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 85–63; listed probable starter Cam Schlittler. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Christian Scott. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 MLB ML + 2 NFL props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
2 picks
2-leg mixed: 1 College football ML + 1 NFL prop
1
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 2 College football ML + 1 NFL prop
1
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Virginia Tech
Moneyline -128
NCAAF · vs Maryland · 2026-09-19
53.6%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Virginia Tech has a 53.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.4% for Maryland (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -128 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
3 picks
3-leg mixed: 1 College football ML + 2 NFL props
1
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Research combination: FanDuel moneylines and PrizePicks props may not be available together at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; no joint win probability.
Demon
2 picks
2-prop research combination
1
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. NFL and MLB figures have different foundations; current roles and availability unverified.
Demon
3 picks
3-prop research combination
1
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. NFL and MLB figures have different foundations; current roles and availability unverified.
Demon
3 picks
3-prop alternative: 1 NFL + 2 MLB
1
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Rafael DeversDemon
More 7.5 Hitter FS
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
16220183303402322
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 7.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 12.47; last five: 11.80.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.97 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. Different player allocation, not an independently validated alternative.
Demon
4 picks
2 moneylines + 2 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Demon
5 picks
2 moneylines + 3 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Demon
5 picks
3 moneylines + 2 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Demon
6 picks
3 moneylines + 3 props
1
Milwaukee Brewers
Moneyline -198
MLB · vs Cincinnati Reds · 2026-09-13
63.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
6
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
No joint win probability. FanDuel moneylines + PrizePicks props: confirm matching lines and allowed combinations at one sportsbook. Same-game dependencies are not modeled; alternatives overlap.
Demon
6 picks
Top 30 NFL props
1
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
2
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
3
Luther Burden IIIDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / CHI · vs CAR · 2026-09-13
29.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0-41000331500
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-18.
Average: 1.94; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.44 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.74 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
4
Tank BigsbyDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / PHI · vs WAS · 2026-09-13
24.4%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
03120000000
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 15 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 2.13; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.63 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.47 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Devaughn VeleDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / NO · vs DET · 2026-09-13
6.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
000000000
Last 9 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 9 games; latest history: 2025-12-14.
Average: 0.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
6
Chris OlaveDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / NO · vs DET · 2026-09-13
4.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
00000000-30
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-28.
Average: -0.15; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.65 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.15 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Sorted by NFL experimental estimate. Details and source flags are in Player notes.
Demon
28 picks
Top 30 MLB props
1
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
2
Rafael DeversDemon
More 7.5 Hitter FS
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
16220183303402322
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 7.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 12.47; last five: 11.80.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.97 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
3
Cody BellingerDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / NYY · vs NYM · 2026-09-13
17/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5544211033
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 17 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
4
Brooks LeeDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
16/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
2002152030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.03; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 16 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.53 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-23: 0, 2026-07-22: 5, 2026-07-20: 4, 2026-07-09: 0, 2026-07-08: 2, 2026-07-07: 1, 2026-05-10: 2, 2026-05-09: 0, 2026-05-08: 2. Average 1.60 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brooks Lee vs Tanner Bibee (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 8 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 8 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.23 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-11: 7, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-05: 4, 2026-09-04: 1, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-04-22: 0, 2026-04-21: 0, 2026-04-20: 2. Average 1.78 TB over 9 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Lawrence Butler vs Bryce Miller (2021–2025 only): 3 hits / 7 AB, 1 HR, 0 K, 3 BB over 10 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.20; last five: 3.80.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.70 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.60 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
7
Luke KeaschallDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
14/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1002102013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.70; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.20 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.90 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.43 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-23: 1, 2026-07-22: 1, 2026-07-21: 0, 2026-07-09: 0, 2026-07-08: 2, 2026-07-07: 2, 2026-05-10: 0, 2026-05-09: 0, 2026-05-08: 1. Average 0.70 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Luke Keaschall vs Tanner Bibee: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.57 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Tristan Peters vs Michael McGreevy: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.47 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 2, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 1, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-05-25: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Henry Bolte vs Bryce Miller: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.07; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 13 above the line, 17 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.57 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.93 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
11
Ryan JeffersDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
12/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1300402782
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-11.
Average: 1.60; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.93 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-07-23: 1, 2026-07-21: 4, 2026-05-10: 2, 2026-05-08: 1. Average 1.80 TB over 5 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Ryan Jeffers vs Tanner Bibee (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 8 AB, 0 HR, 4 K, 0 BB over 8 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.43 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Miguel Vargas vs Michael McGreevy (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.30 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
14
Josh BellDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
11/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0050003521
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.47; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.03 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.47 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-23: 0, 2026-07-22: 1, 2026-07-21: 2, 2026-07-20: 3, 2026-07-09: 0, 2026-07-08: 1, 2026-07-07: 2, 2026-05-10: 2, 2026-05-09: 0. Average 1.10 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Josh Bell vs Tanner Bibee: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.23 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.07 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 4, 2026-09-04: 6, 2026-09-03: 1, 2026-04-22: 7, 2026-04-21: 5, 2026-04-20: 4. Average 3.50 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Cal Raleigh vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 2 hits / 2 AB, 2 HR, 0 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.23; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.57 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 3, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-09-04: 2, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 2, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-05-25: 2, 2026-04-22: 0, 2026-04-21: 1. Average 1.20 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Cole Young vs Jacob Lopez: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.63; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.13 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-09-04: 4, 2026-09-03: 0, 2026-05-27: 2, 2026-05-26: 2, 2026-05-25: 2, 2026-04-22: 3, 2026-04-21: 0. Average 1.60 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Josh Naylor vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 21 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.38; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.22 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.95 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against KC this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-11: 0, 2026-07-10: 1, 2026-04-21: 5. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Adley Rutschman vs Noah Cameron: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.17; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 22 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.17 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.07 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Sam Antonacci vs Michael McGreevy: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.23; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 22 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.63 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.67 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CWS this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.00; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 23 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.30 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Munetaka Murakami vs Michael McGreevy: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.13; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 23 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.37 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.27 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.23 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 1, 2026-09-04: 1, 2026-09-03: 1, 2026-05-27: 3, 2026-05-26: 1, 2026-05-25: 4, 2026-04-22: 2, 2026-04-21: 0. Average 1.60 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
J.P. Crawford vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 1 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 27 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.13 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against TOR this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-06-07: 5, 2026-06-06: 4, 2026-06-05: 2, 2026-05-31: 5, 2026-05-30: 2, 2026-05-29: 1, 2026-05-28: 0. Average 2.62 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Colton Cowser vs Dylan Cease: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 3.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 0.93; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 27 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.53 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
25
John RaveDemon
More 4.5 TB
MLB / KC · vs BOS · 2026-09-13
2/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0014214101
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.20; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 28 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.30 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.20 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BOS this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
John Rave vs Payton Tolle: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-09.
Average: 0.77; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 30 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.73 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.57 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-06-07: 4, 2026-06-06: 5, 2026-06-05: 4, 2026-05-31: 0, 2026-05-29: 2, 2026-05-28: 0. Average 2.50 TB over 6 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brandon Valenzuela vs Trevor Rogers: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.70; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 30 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.80 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.00 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
28
Taylor TrammellDemon
More 4.5 TB
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
0/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0121020203
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.83; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 30 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.67 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against TB this season: 2026-09-12: 0, 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-04: 1, 2026-07-03: 0. Average 0.40 TB over 5 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Taylor Trammell vs Freddy Peralta: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Sorted by historical hit rate, not a verified future probability. Equality to the line is reported in source notes.
Demon
1 picks
Top 10 NFL defense matchups
1
Braelon AllenDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
51.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0170080503816
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Positive matchup support with model estimate at least 50%. Sorted by smoothed position allowance, not win probability. #1 defense allows fewest yards. Prior-season samples may not reflect current personnel.
Standard
103 picks
FanDuel NFL props
1
Patrick Mahomes
Over 223.5 Passing Yards
NFL · DEN @ KC · 2026-09-14
-114FanDuel price
Price details
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved FanDuel New Jersey prices, not live odds. These are available selections, not ranked recommendations. Same-game combinations require the sportsbook’s combined price.
Moneylines
54 picks
Top soccer match results
1
Bayern Munich
90-min result: Bayern Munich · -1500
SOCCER · Bayern Munich vs Viking · 2026-10-13
87.5%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
SOCCER · Stuttgart vs Slovan Bratislava · 2026-10-14
72.1%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
SOCCER · Stuttgart vs Slovan Bratislava · 2026-10-14
16.3%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
SOCCER · Stuttgart vs Slovan Bratislava · 2026-10-14
11.6%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
Three-way, margin-removed market estimates. Regulation plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded. Not a team-strength forecast.
Moneylines
2 picks · 69.2% all-win estimate*
2-moneyline soccer combination
1
Bayern Munich
90-min result: Bayern Munich · -1500
SOCCER · Bayern Munich vs Viking · 2026-10-13
87.5%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
Highest available margin-removed market estimates, one outcome per match. All-win estimate assumes independent matches; verify current prices. Regulation plus stoppage time only.
Replaces your current calculator picks. Review saved lines before using.
Moneylines
3 picks · 54.2% all-win estimate*
3-moneyline soccer combination
1
Bayern Munich
90-min result: Bayern Munich · -1500
SOCCER · Bayern Munich vs Viking · 2026-10-13
87.5%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
Highest available margin-removed market estimates, one outcome per match. All-win estimate assumes independent matches; verify current prices. Regulation plus stoppage time only.
Replaces your current calculator picks. Review saved lines before using.
Standard
112 picks
Soccer player props
1
Donyell Malen
Less 4 Shots
SOCCER · Roma vs Torino · 2026-09-14
—unranked prop
Selection details
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
Unranked saved lines. No soccer player probability model or verified playing-time adjustment. FanDuel prices work in the calculator; PrizePicks supports standard picks from different games only.
Goblin
154 picks
Soccer player props
1
Matías Soulé
More 2.5 Shots
SOCCER · Roma vs Torino · 2026-09-14
—unranked prop
Selection details
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
Unranked saved lines. No soccer player probability model or verified playing-time adjustment. FanDuel prices work in the calculator; PrizePicks supports standard picks from different games only.
Demon
57 picks
Soccer player props
1
Cristiano Biraghi
More 2.5 Shots
SOCCER · Roma vs Torino · 2026-09-14
—unranked prop
Selection details
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
Unranked saved lines. No soccer player probability model or verified playing-time adjustment. FanDuel prices work in the calculator; PrizePicks supports standard picks from different games only.
Your saved picks
1
LA Chargers
Moneyline -490
NFL · vs ARI Cardinals · 2026-09-13
79.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: LA Chargers has a 79.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 20.1% for ARI Cardinals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 20.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -490 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 19.1 points scored and 18.4 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-09 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: JAX Jaguars has a 78.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 21.4% for CLE Browns (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 21.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -450 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 8 wins, 0 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 33.6 points scored and 14.5 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: PHI Eagles has a 68.5% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 31.5% for WAS Commanders (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 31.5% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -250 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 4 wins, 4 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 20.1 points scored and 16.6 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 7.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 4.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 4.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
5
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 48.5 Rush Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
81.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
51237517177452922
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 48.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 5 carries/game; a larger role could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 22.38; last five: 20.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
6
Dawson Knox
More 13.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BUF · vs HOU · 2026-09-13
77.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
32302430103793281723
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 13.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Kincaid ahead on current depth chart; upcoming target share unverified
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-17.
Average: 24.30; last five: 25.20.
In this sample: 16 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 10.80 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.90 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
7
New York Yankees
Moneyline -184
MLB · vs New York Mets · 2026-09-13
62.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: New York Yankees has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for New York Mets (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 85–63; listed probable starter Cam Schlittler. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Christian Scott. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Milwaukee Brewers has a 63.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 36.1% for Cincinnati Reds (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 36.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -198 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: American Family Field. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 96; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 93–56; listed probable starter Robert Gasser. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 69–79; listed probable starter Chase Burns. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Boston Red Sox has a 62.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 37.8% for Kansas City Royals (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 37.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -184 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 81–68; listed probable starter Payton Tolle. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 66–83; listed probable starter Noah Cameron. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 3.93; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
11
Chase Burns
More 4 Ks
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
15/18historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5758869462
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.72; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 1 below, 2 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.72 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.12 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
12
Bryce Miller
More 4.5 Ks
MLB / SEA · vs ATH · 2026-09-13
12/17historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
6353553063
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 5.53; last five: 4.40.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.03 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.13 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Florida has a 53.3% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.7% for Auburn (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.7% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -126 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
14
Northwestern
Moneyline -170
NCAAF · vs Colorado · 2026-09-19
60.2%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Northwestern has a 60.2% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 39.8% for Colorado (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 39.8% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -170 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
15
Virginia Tech
Moneyline -128
NCAAF · vs Maryland · 2026-09-19
53.6%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Virginia Tech has a 53.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 46.4% for Maryland (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 46.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -128 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
16
Bhayshul Tuten
Less 11.5 Rec Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
78.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
001602005-30
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 11.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 4.94; last five: 3.60.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.56 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.34 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
17
Chuba Hubbard
Less 56.5 Rush Yards
NFL / CAR · vs CHI · 2026-09-13
77.1%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
46101227298316211417
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 56.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 43.80; last five: 24.80.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.70 below the current line. The last-five average is 19.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
18
Michael Mayer
Less 39.5 Rec Yards
NFL / LV · vs MIA · 2026-09-13
76.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
4789100141322261050
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 39.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 22.90; last five: 32.00.
In this sample: 4 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 16.60 below the current line. The last-five average is 9.10 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
19
J.K. Dobbins
More 50.5 Rush Yards
NFL / DEN · vs KC · 2026-09-14
75.1%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
7761111814079101837663
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 50.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 10 games; latest history: 2025-11-06.
Average: 77.20; last five: 74.00.
In this sample: 9 above the line, 1 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 26.70 above the current line. The last-five average is 3.20 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
20
Jakobi Meyers
More 35.5 Rec Yards
NFL / JAC · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
74.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
12443945713990506441
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 35.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 10 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 49.50; last five: 42.20.
In this sample: 9 above the line, 1 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 14.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.30 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
21
Luther Burden III
Less 56.5 Rec Yards
NFL / CHI · vs CAR · 2026-09-13
74.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
244235138846733462751
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 56.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload differs substantially from earlier history
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-18.
Average: 42.24; last five: 64.60.
In this sample: 4 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 14.26 below the current line. The last-five average is 22.36 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
22
Jacoby Brissett
More 222.5 Pass Yards
NFL / ARI · vs LAC · 2026-09-13
72.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
243212203249271301317452258261
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 222.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 12 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 280.50; last five: 235.60.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 58.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 44.90 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
23
Rashod Bateman
Less 26.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BAL · vs IND · 2026-09-13
71.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
702301013518024
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 26.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload differs substantially from earlier history
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-27.
Average: 26.95; last five: 8.00.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.45 above the current line. The last-five average is 18.95 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
24
Omarion Hampton
Less 67.5 Rush Yards
NFL / LAC · vs ARI · 2026-09-13
71.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
-12985615644128702448
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 67.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 10 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 54.40; last five: 46.00.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 13.10 below the current line. The last-five average is 8.40 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
25
Aaron Jones Sr.
More 29.5 Rush Yards
NFL / MIN · vs GB · 2026-09-13
70.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
5385347634170477815
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 29.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 52.10; last five: 50.20.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 22.60 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.90 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
26
Tre Tucker
Less 46.5 Rec Yards
NFL / LV · vs MIA · 2026-09-13
70.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
3049430242028472838
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 46.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 39.25; last five: 29.20.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.25 below the current line. The last-five average is 10.05 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
27
Jahmyr Gibbs
Less 83.5 Rush Yards
NFL / DET · vs NO · 2026-09-13
68.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
804123843682193914225
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 83.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 79.20; last five: 40.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.30 below the current line. The last-five average is 38.40 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
28
Bryce Young
Less 208.5 Pass Yards
NFL / CAR · vs CHI · 2026-09-13
68.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
26426654191163206169448124102
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 208.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Opponent personnel changed; a current matchup adjustment is unavailable
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 194.35; last five: 187.60.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 14.15 below the current line. The last-five average is 6.75 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
29
Jayden Daniels
More 204.5 Pass Yards
NFL / WAS · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
67.8%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
15315621123120023325529926838
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 204.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-11-02.
Average: 215.35; last five: 190.20.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 10.85 above the current line. The last-five average is 25.15 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
30
Justin Jefferson
Less 75.5 Rec Yards
NFL / MIN · vs GB · 2026-09-13
67.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
10130852211448613747
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 75.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 62.60; last five: 49.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.90 below the current line. The last-five average is 12.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
31
Jordan Mason
Less 4.5 Rec Yards
NFL / MIN · vs GB · 2026-09-13
67.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0600100613
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 4.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 16 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 3.19; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.31 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.79 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
32
Ladd McConkey
Less 56.5 Rec Yards
NFL / LAC · vs ARI · 2026-09-13
67.4%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
323143201239131075688
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 56.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload differs substantially from earlier history
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 60.35; last five: 27.60.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.85 above the current line. The last-five average is 32.75 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
33
Woody Marks
Less 9.5 Rec Yards
NFL / HOU · vs BUF · 2026-09-13
67.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
19004883-5718
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 9.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2026-01-18.
Average: 12.61; last five: 6.20.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.11 above the current line. The last-five average is 6.41 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
34
Bucky Irving
More 57.5 Rush Yards
NFL / TB · vs CIN · 2026-09-13
67.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
85197160556163667137
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 57.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-03.
Average: 69.60; last five: 58.00.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 11.60 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
35
DeVonta Smith
Less 67.5 Rec Yards
NFL / PHI · vs WAS · 2026-09-13
67.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
7052254250374889869
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 67.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 59.60; last five: 47.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.90 below the current line. The last-five average is 11.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
36
Tyler Warren
Less 45.5 Rec Yards
NFL / IND · vs BAL · 2026-09-13
66.8%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
26433019152245992653
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 45.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 48.06; last five: 26.60.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.56 above the current line. The last-five average is 21.46 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
37
Malik Nabers
More 58.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYG · vs DAL · 2026-09-13
66.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
2013167716417168827969
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 58.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 18 games; latest history: 2025-09-28.
Average: 78.28; last five: 67.00.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 19.78 above the current line. The last-five average is 11.28 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
38
Breece Hall
Less 20.5 Rec Yards
NFL / NYJ · vs TEN · 2026-09-13
66.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
1891408756421414
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 20.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-28.
Average: 21.60; last five: 9.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 11.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
39
Matthew Golden
Less 38.5 Rec Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
66.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
848120550249437
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 38.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 15 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 29.67; last five: 31.80.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 8.83 below the current line. The last-five average is 2.13 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
40
James Cook III
Less 19.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BUF · vs HOU · 2026-09-13
66.1%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
2450317431331366
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 19.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-17.
Average: 18.45; last five: 9.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.05 below the current line. The last-five average is 8.65 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
41
Patrick Mahomes
More 228.5 Pass Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
65.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
189160261352276250299286257318
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 228.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-14.
Average: 250.25; last five: 247.60.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 21.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.65 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
42
Calvin Ridley
More 27.5 Rec Yards
NFL / TEN · vs NYJ · 2026-09-13
65.8%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
131813130275727768478
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 27.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-11-16.
Average: 58.95; last five: 43.80.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 31.45 above the current line. The last-five average is 15.15 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
43
Coby Mayo
More 0.5 TB
MLB / BAL · vs TOR · 2026-09-13
21/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1440820111
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 3.40.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.47 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.77 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against TOR this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-06-06: 0, 2026-06-05: 4, 2026-05-30: 1, 2026-05-29: 0, 2026-05-28: 4. Average 2.17 TB over 6 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Coby Mayo vs Dylan Cease (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 2 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.60; last five: 4.20.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.60 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
45
Jackson Chourio
More 5.5 Hitter FS
MLB / MIL · vs CIN · 2026-09-13
21/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1126272914657027
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 5.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 11.40; last five: 21.40.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 5.90 above the current line. The last-five average is 10.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.63 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
46
Nathan Church
More 4 Hitter FS
MLB / STL · vs CWS · 2026-09-13
21/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1375775510310
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 6.70; last five: 7.80.
In this sample: 21 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.70 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.10 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.93 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
47
Ha-Seong Kim
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / ATL · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
21/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0120002300
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.43; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 9 above the line, 21 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.07 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.17 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
48
Alec Burleson
Less 1.5 TB
MLB / STL · vs CWS · 2026-09-13
20/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0301441100
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.53; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.03 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.20 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CWS this season: 2026-09-11: 3. Average 3.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.73; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
No qualifying previous hitting game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.73; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.33 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
51
Agustín Ramírez
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / MIA · vs LAD · 2026-09-13
18/28historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0200040120
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 28 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.79; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.29 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.39 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.00 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against LAD this season: 2026-09-12: 0, 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-04-28: 0, 2026-04-27: 1. Average 0.75 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Agustín Ramírez vs Emmet Sheehan: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.47; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.03 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.53 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.17 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-12: 1, 2026-05-27: 1, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-05-25: 4, 2026-04-22: 1, 2026-04-21: 5, 2026-04-20: 4. Average 2.29 TB over 7 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Shea Langeliers vs Bryce Miller (2021–2025 only): 2 hits / 10 AB, 2 HR, 4 K, 0 BB over 10 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.30; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.20 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.70 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 4, 2026-05-26: 1, 2026-05-25: 1, 2026-04-22: 2, 2026-04-21: 2. Average 1.40 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Julio Rodríguez vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 1 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.40; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.90 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.40 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Oracle Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.44 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SD this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-08-02: 0, 2026-08-01: 0, 2026-07-31: 1, 2026-07-30: 1, 2026-05-05: 0, 2026-03-31: 0. Average 0.29 TB over 7 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Christian Koss vs Nick Pivetta (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 5 AB, 0 HR, 3 K, 0 BB over 6 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 13 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 5.31; last five: 6.40.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.19 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.09 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
56
Austin Wells
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / NYY · vs NYM · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0000000021
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.77; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.07 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYM this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-05-17: 0, 2026-05-16: 1, 2026-05-15: 0. Average 0.25 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Austin Wells vs Christian Scott: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.83 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Truist Park. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 8.94 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 101; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATL this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-07: 5, 2026-09-06: 4, 2026-09-05: 5, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-04-26: 4, 2026-04-25: 3, 2026-04-24: 0, 2026-04-19: 6, 2026-04-18: 1. Average 2.80 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Kyle Schwarber vs Grant Holmes (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 3 AB, 0 HR, 2 K, 1 BB over 4 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.45; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.95 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.85 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.70 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
59
Dylan Beavers
More 0.5 TB
MLB / BAL · vs TOR · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0530201012
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.50; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against TOR this season: 2026-09-11: 5. Average 5.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Dylan Beavers vs Dylan Cease (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.83 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-04: 5. Average 2.00 TB over 3 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Richie Palacios vs Hayden Wesneski: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.83; last five: 2.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.17 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.03 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
62
Randy Arozarena
Less 1.5 TB
MLB / SEA · vs ATH · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5102121021
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.07; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.57 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.27 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-09-06: 2, 2026-09-05: 1, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 1, 2026-05-26: 1, 2026-05-25: 7, 2026-04-22: 3, 2026-04-21: 1. Average 1.90 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Randy Arozarena vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 2 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-09.
Average: 1.50; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.10 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.45 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-03: 1. Average 0.33 TB over 3 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brian Serven vs Bryce Miller: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.93; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.27 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-05-10: 0, 2026-05-09: 0, 2026-05-08: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 6 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Weston Wilson vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 3 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 3 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 5.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 8.53; last five: 16.40.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.03 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.87 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
66
Victor Mesa Jr.
More 4.5 Hitter FS
MLB / TB · vs HOU · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
9211421151211700
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 8.13; last five: 16.00.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.63 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.87 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
67
Brandon Valenzuela
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / TOR · vs BAL · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0000022100
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-09.
Average: 0.77; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.57 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
68
Samuel Basallo
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / BAL · vs TOR · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0102000102
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.90; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
69
Taylor Trammell
Less 0.5 TB
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0121020203
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.83; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
70
PIT Steelers
Moneyline -230
NFL · vs ATL Falcons · 2026-09-13
66.9%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: PIT Steelers has a 66.9% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 33.1% for ATL Falcons (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 33.1% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -230 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 5 wins, 3 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 23.1 points scored and 20.9 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: CIN Bengals has a 64.1% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 35.9% for TB Buccaneers (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 35.9% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -200 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Recent team context: 3 wins, 5 losses and 0 ties in the last 8 available regular-season games; 24.8 points scored and 24.0 allowed per game. Sample 2025-11-16 through 2026-01-04. Prior-season form is descriptive and does not adjust the market estimate.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
Why it appears: Toronto Blue Jays has a 58.6% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 41.4% for Baltimore Orioles (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 41.4% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -156 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Selected team: 74–75; listed probable starter Dylan Cease. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Opponent: 72–77; listed probable starter Trevor Rogers. These are schedule-snapshot facts, not a pitching-strength model.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Why it appears: Los Angeles Dodgers has a 57.1% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 42.9% for Miami Marlins (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 42.9% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved -146 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12T22:45:39.536660-05:00. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
74
Auburn
Moneyline +105
NCAAF · vs Florida · 2026-09-19
46.7%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Auburn has a 46.7% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 53.3% for Florida (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 53.3% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved +105 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
75
Maryland
Moneyline +106
NCAAF · vs Virginia Tech · 2026-09-19
46.4%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Maryland has a 46.4% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 53.6% for Virginia Tech (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 53.6% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved +106 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
76
Colorado
Moneyline +140
NCAAF · vs Northwestern · 2026-09-19
39.8%market-implied chance
Why this pick · full analysis
Why it appears: Colorado has a 39.8% margin-removed market estimate, versus approximately 60.2% for Northwestern (excluding a tie). Moneyline combinations select the highest available market estimates while avoiding repeated games.
Counterpoint: 60.2% is still assigned to the opponent by this market. A high win estimate is not proof that the quoted price offers value. Injuries, lineup changes and later odds movement can change the outlook.
The saved +140 price is the bookmaker quote; the displayed percentage removes the two-sided market margin. This ranking is based on odds, not an independently validated team-strength forecast.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
77
Zay Flowers
Less 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / BAL · vs IND · 2026-09-13
56.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
001802011560
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 3.70; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.20 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
78
Brashard Smith
Less 5.5 Rec Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
65.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
25400031800
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 10.12; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 6 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.62 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.92 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
79
Tyjae Spears
More 16.5 Rec Yards
NFL / TEN · vs NYJ · 2026-09-13
52.7%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
9-1532282521313623
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 16.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 20.60; last five: 18.20.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.40 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
80
Patrick Mahomes
More 15.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
58.0%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
155930303530283260
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 15.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-14.
Average: 28.15; last five: 27.40.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 12.65 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.75 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
81
Tucker Kraft
Less 45.5 Rec Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
60.6%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
2014358435629124162636
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 45.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-11-02.
Average: 49.55; last five: 64.00.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.05 above the current line. The last-five average is 14.45 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
82
Chris Brooks
Less 5.5 Rec Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
55.9%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
110110669500
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 5.55; last five: 5.60.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.05 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.05 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
83
Derrick Henry
Less 5.5 Rec Yards
NFL / BAL · vs IND · 2026-09-13
52.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0000844241992
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 5.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-04.
Average: 8.65; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 10 above the line, 10 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.15 above the current line. The last-five average is 7.05 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
84
Baker Mayfield
More 16.5 Rush Yards
NFL / TB · vs CIN · 2026-09-13
53.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
31164914227193900
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 16.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-03.
Average: 23.75; last five: 27.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.25 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.05 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
85
Jordan Love
Less 238.5 Pass Yards
NFL / GB · vs MIN · 2026-09-13
61.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
32377276234234139174176273360
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 238.5 Pass Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-01-10.
Average: 217.60; last five: 228.80.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 20.90 below the current line. The last-five average is 11.20 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
86
Quinshon Judkins
Less 58.5 Rush Yards
NFL / CLE · vs JAC · 2026-09-13
52.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
22212691475975198436
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: Less 58.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2025-12-21.
Average: 59.07; last five: 41.40.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.57 above the current line. The last-five average is 17.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
87
Hayden WesneskiGoblin
More 2.5 Ks
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
8/8historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
35646444
Last 8 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 2.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 8 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 4.50; last five: 4.80.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 0 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 7.60; last five: 7.60.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous starts against NYM this season: 2026-05-15: 9. Average 9.00 Ks over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 26 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYM this season: 2026-09-11: 5, 2026-05-17: 1, 2026-05-16: 0, 2026-05-15: 2. Average 2.00 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Cody Bellinger vs Christian Scott: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 3.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 14 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 6.64; last five: 4.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 2 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.14 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.04 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
91
Nathan ChurchGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / STL · vs CWS · 2026-09-13
25/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4111211112
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 25 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.43 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.93 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CWS this season: 2026-09-11: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 25 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.93 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.33 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
93
Brett BatemanGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / TOR · vs BAL · 2026-09-13
24/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4621031131
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.80; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.80 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.63 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 6. Average 6.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brett Bateman vs Trevor Rogers: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.37 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-04: 5, 2026-07-03: 4. Average 3.25 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Junior Caminero vs Hayden Wesneski: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.60; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.17 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BOS this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-05-20: 6, 2026-05-19: 0, 2026-05-18: 0. Average 2.00 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Salvador Perez vs Payton Tolle: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.37; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.17 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BOS this season: 2026-09-12: 0, 2026-05-20: 2, 2026-05-19: 0, 2026-05-18: 4. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Jac Caglianone vs Payton Tolle: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Oracle Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.44 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SD this season: 2026-09-11: 3, 2026-08-02: 1, 2026-08-01: 2, 2026-07-31: 0, 2026-07-30: 2, 2026-05-06: 0, 2026-05-05: 1, 2026-05-04: 0. Average 1.12 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Bryce Eldridge vs Nick Pivetta: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 24 above the line, 6 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
99
Drake BaldwinGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / ATL · vs PHI · 2026-09-13
23/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
2314103210
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.37 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Truist Park. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 8.94 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 101; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against PHI this season: 2026-09-11: 3, 2026-09-07: 0, 2026-09-06: 3, 2026-09-05: 2, 2026-09-04: 1, 2026-04-26: 2, 2026-04-25: 1, 2026-04-24: 0, 2026-04-19: 0, 2026-04-18: 1. Average 1.30 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Drake Baldwin vs Andrew Painter: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.20 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Alejandro Kirk vs Trevor Rogers (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 5 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 6 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.43; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.93 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-06-07: 3, 2026-06-06: 2, 2026-06-05: 1, 2026-05-31: 0, 2026-05-30: 0, 2026-05-29: 0, 2026-05-28: 4. Average 1.25 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Andrés Giménez vs Trevor Rogers (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 4 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 4 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.63; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.13 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.43 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.87 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-06-07: 1, 2026-06-06: 1, 2026-06-05: 0, 2026-05-31: 2, 2026-05-30: 1, 2026-05-29: 2, 2026-05-28: 1. Average 1.12 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Nathan Lukes vs Trevor Rogers: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.90 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against LAD this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-04-29: 1, 2026-04-28: 0, 2026-04-27: 0. Average 1.25 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Javier Sanoja vs Emmet Sheehan: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.87 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against LAD this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-04-29: 1, 2026-04-28: 4, 2026-04-27: 2. Average 2.75 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Otto Lopez vs Emmet Sheehan: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.57 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-03: 1. Average 0.33 TB over 3 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Yandy Díaz vs Hayden Wesneski (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 3 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.30; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.80 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against HOU this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-05: 1. Average 0.50 TB over 2 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Chandler Simpson vs Hayden Wesneski: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.33; last five: 4.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.83 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.63 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
108
Miguel VargasGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / CWS · vs STL · 2026-09-13
23/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1100021420
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.43 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
109
Lawrence ButlerGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / ATH · vs SEA · 2026-09-13
23/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0700004121
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 23 above the line, 7 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.23 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
110
Eury PérezGoblin
More 4.5 Ks
MLB / MIA · vs LAD · 2026-09-13
13/17historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5354579629
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 Ks is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-09-07.
Average: 5.71; last five: 4.40.
In this sample: 13 above the line, 4 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.21 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.31 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Ballpark: loanDepot park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.57 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 97; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
No qualifying previous pitching game logs against this opponent in the current-season sample.
Opponent batting order is not posted in the schedule snapshot. Individual hitter matchups will populate on a refresh once the lineup is available.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.00; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 5 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.50 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.00 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
112
Spencer JonesGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / NYY · vs NYM · 2026-09-13
22/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
2232023105
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.73; last five: 1.80.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.07 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.67 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYM this season: 2026-09-12: 2, 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-05-17: 0, 2026-05-15: 2. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Spencer Jones vs Christian Scott: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.63; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.13 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.23 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.33 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Yankee Stadium. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.09 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 102; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against NYY this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-05-17: 1, 2026-05-16: 4, 2026-05-15: 0. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Carson Benge vs Cam Schlittler: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.10; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.60 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.70 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
115
Isaac ParedesGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
22/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4215102221
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.73; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.23 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.87 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
116
Rafael DeversGoblin
More 0.5 TB
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
22/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
4404188054
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.70; last five: 2.60.
In this sample: 22 above the line, 8 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.20 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.10 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Oracle Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 8.44 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SD this season: 2026-09-11: 4, 2026-08-02: 4, 2026-08-01: 2, 2026-07-31: 0, 2026-07-30: 3, 2026-05-06: 4, 2026-05-05: 1, 2026-05-04: 1, 2026-04-01: 0, 2026-03-31: 2. Average 2.10 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Rafael Devers vs Nick Pivetta (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 5 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 1 BB over 6 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-09-29.
Average: 7.80; last five: 5.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 7.30 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.80 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
118
Xavier WorthyDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / KC · vs DEN · 2026-09-14
46.3%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
100013007013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-25.
Average: 7.25; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 6.75 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.45 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
119
Luther Burden IIIDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / CHI · vs CAR · 2026-09-13
29.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
0-41000331500
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 17 games; latest history: 2026-01-18.
Average: 1.94; last five: 1.20.
In this sample: 5 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.44 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.74 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
120
Elly De La CruzDemon
More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
MLB / CIN · vs MIL · 2026-09-13
19/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
3035474532
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.50; last five: 3.00.
In this sample: 19 above the line, 11 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.00 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
121
Rafael DeversDemon
More 7.5 Hitter FS
MLB / SF · vs SD · 2026-09-13
18/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
16220183303402322
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 7.5 Hitter FS is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 12.47; last five: 11.80.
In this sample: 18 above the line, 12 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 4.97 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.67 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
122
Cody BellingerDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / NYY · vs NYM · 2026-09-13
17/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
5544211033
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 17 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 2.03 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
123
Tank BigsbyDemon
More 0.5 Rec Yards
NFL / PHI · vs WAS · 2026-09-13
24.4%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
03120000000
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rec Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Recent workload: fewer than 1 target/game; a role increase could invalidate this estimate
No current injury, snap or role model
Earlier saved September 11 board; not the latest live prices
Sample: 15 games; latest history: 2026-01-11.
Average: 2.13; last five: 6.60.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 13 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 1.63 above the current line. The last-five average is 4.47 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context works against this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
124
Devaughn VeleDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / NO · vs DET · 2026-09-13
6.5%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
000000000
Last 9 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Fewer than 15 comparable appearances
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 9 games; latest history: 2025-12-14.
Average: 0.00; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 9 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
125
Chris OlaveDemon
More 0.5 Rush Yards
NFL / NO · vs DET · 2026-09-13
4.2%model estimate
Why this pick · full analysis
00000000-30
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 0.5 Rush Yards is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the experimental NFL model. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
No current injury, snap or role model
Most recent successful player-board import; quote time unverified
Sample: 20 games; latest history: 2025-12-28.
Average: -0.15; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 20 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.65 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.15 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Last 8 available regular-season games within 365 days; #1 allows fewest yards. Passing is gross yards, before sacks. Descriptive, not opponent-adjusted efficiency.
The smoothed positional matchup context supports this side, but is not included as a new probability adjustment.
Exact import time was not retained for this selection. Treat the line as unverified until compared with the current board.
126
Brooks LeeDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
16/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
2002152030
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.03; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 16 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.53 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-23: 0, 2026-07-22: 5, 2026-07-20: 4, 2026-07-09: 0, 2026-07-08: 2, 2026-07-07: 1, 2026-05-10: 2, 2026-05-09: 0, 2026-05-08: 2. Average 1.60 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brooks Lee vs Tanner Bibee (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 8 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 8 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.90; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.40 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.50 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.23 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-11: 7, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-05: 4, 2026-09-04: 1, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-04-22: 0, 2026-04-21: 0, 2026-04-20: 2. Average 1.78 TB over 9 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Lawrence Butler vs Bryce Miller (2021–2025 only): 3 hits / 7 AB, 1 HR, 0 K, 3 BB over 10 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.20; last five: 3.80.
In this sample: 15 above the line, 15 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.70 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.60 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
129
Luke KeaschallDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
14/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1002102013
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.70; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.20 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.90 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.43 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-23: 1, 2026-07-22: 1, 2026-07-21: 0, 2026-07-09: 0, 2026-07-08: 2, 2026-07-07: 2, 2026-05-10: 0, 2026-05-09: 0, 2026-05-08: 1. Average 0.70 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Luke Keaschall vs Tanner Bibee: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.97; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.47 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.57 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Tristan Peters vs Michael McGreevy: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.93; last five: 2.40.
In this sample: 14 above the line, 16 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.43 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.47 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.53 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against SEA this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 2, 2026-09-04: 0, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 1, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-05-25: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Henry Bolte vs Bryce Miller: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 2.07; last five: 4.00.
In this sample: 13 above the line, 17 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.57 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.93 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.60 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
133
Ryan JeffersDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
12/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
1300402782
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-11.
Average: 1.60; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.10 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.93 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-07-23: 1, 2026-07-21: 4, 2026-05-10: 2, 2026-05-08: 1. Average 1.80 TB over 5 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Ryan Jeffers vs Tanner Bibee (2021–2025 only): 1 hits / 8 AB, 0 HR, 4 K, 0 BB over 8 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.43 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.50 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Miguel Vargas vs Michael McGreevy (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 2.20.
In this sample: 12 above the line, 18 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.30 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
136
Josh BellDemon
More 1.5 TB
MLB / MIN · vs CLE · 2026-09-13
11/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0050003521
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.47; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.03 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.47 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Target Field. In 2025, 80 completed regular-season games averaged 9.53 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CLE this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-23: 0, 2026-07-22: 1, 2026-07-21: 2, 2026-07-20: 3, 2026-07-09: 0, 2026-07-08: 1, 2026-07-07: 2, 2026-05-10: 2, 2026-05-09: 0. Average 1.10 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Josh Bell vs Tanner Bibee: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.83; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 above the current line. The last-five average is 1.23 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.07 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 4, 2026-09-04: 6, 2026-09-03: 1, 2026-04-22: 7, 2026-04-21: 5, 2026-04-20: 4. Average 3.50 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Cal Raleigh vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 2 hits / 2 AB, 2 HR, 0 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.23; last five: 2.80.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 below the current line. The last-five average is 1.57 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 3, 2026-09-06: 0, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-09-04: 2, 2026-09-03: 2, 2026-05-27: 2, 2026-05-26: 0, 2026-05-25: 2, 2026-04-22: 0, 2026-04-21: 1. Average 1.20 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Cole Young vs Jacob Lopez: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.63; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 11 above the line, 19 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.13 above the current line. The last-five average is 0.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.27 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 0, 2026-09-04: 4, 2026-09-03: 0, 2026-05-27: 2, 2026-05-26: 2, 2026-05-25: 2, 2026-04-22: 3, 2026-04-21: 0. Average 1.60 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Josh Naylor vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 2 AB, 0 HR, 1 K, 0 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 21 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.38; last five: 1.60.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 14 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.12 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.22 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.95 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against KC this season: 2026-09-11: 0, 2026-07-11: 0, 2026-07-10: 1, 2026-04-21: 5. Average 1.50 TB over 4 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Adley Rutschman vs Noah Cameron: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.17; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 22 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.33 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.17 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.07 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 1. Average 1.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Sam Antonacci vs Michael McGreevy: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.23; last five: 0.60.
In this sample: 8 above the line, 22 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.27 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.63 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.67 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against CWS this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Opposing starter has not been announced; pitcher–hitter history is unavailable.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.00; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 23 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.50 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.00 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.30 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Busch Stadium. In 2025, 79 completed regular-season games averaged 8.46 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 95; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against STL this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Munetaka Murakami vs Michael McGreevy: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 1.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.13; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 7 above the line, 23 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 0.37 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.27 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 4.23 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Sutter Health Park. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 10.04 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 113; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against ATH this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-09-06: 1, 2026-09-05: 1, 2026-09-04: 1, 2026-09-03: 1, 2026-05-27: 3, 2026-05-26: 1, 2026-05-25: 4, 2026-04-22: 2, 2026-04-21: 0. Average 1.60 TB over 10 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
J.P. Crawford vs Jacob Lopez (2021–2025 only): 0 hits / 1 AB, 0 HR, 0 K, 1 BB over 2 PA. Very small sample; not a reliable matchup edge. No current-season results included because this source lacks matchup dates.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.37; last five: 1.00.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 27 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.13 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.37 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.13 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against TOR this season: 2026-09-11: 2, 2026-06-07: 5, 2026-06-06: 4, 2026-06-05: 2, 2026-05-31: 5, 2026-05-30: 2, 2026-05-29: 1, 2026-05-28: 0. Average 2.62 TB over 8 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Colton Cowser vs Dylan Cease: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 3.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-08.
Average: 0.93; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 3 above the line, 27 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 2.57 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.53 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.47 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
147
John RaveDemon
More 4.5 TB
MLB / KC · vs BOS · 2026-09-13
2/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0014214101
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 1.20; last five: 1.40.
In this sample: 2 above the line, 28 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.30 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.20 above the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.40 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Fenway Park. In 2025, 78 completed regular-season games averaged 8.77 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 99; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BOS this season: 2026-09-11: 0. Average 0.00 TB over 1 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
John Rave vs Payton Tolle: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-09.
Average: 0.77; last five: 0.00.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 30 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.73 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.77 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.57 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Rogers Centre. In 2025, 81 completed regular-season games averaged 9.48 combined runs, versus 8.88 across MLB (raw scoring index 107; MLB=100).
Park interpretation: this is an unadjusted scoring environment, not a Statcast park factor. Teams, opponents, weather and extra innings can affect it. It does not measure strikeout effects or change this pick’s score.
Previous appearances against BAL this season: 2026-06-07: 4, 2026-06-06: 5, 2026-06-05: 4, 2026-05-31: 0, 2026-05-29: 2, 2026-05-28: 0. Average 2.50 TB over 6 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Brandon Valenzuela vs Trevor Rogers: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.70; last five: 0.40.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 30 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.80 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.30 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.00 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-13. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
150
Taylor TrammellDemon
More 4.5 TB
MLB / HOU · vs TB · 2026-09-13
0/30historical hits
Why this pick · full analysis
0121020203
Last 10 results, newest first. Green clears the selected side; gray does not (including equality).
Why this side: More 4.5 TB is the best-scoring offered side for this saved line under the MLB historical hit-rate screen. Selection from the same historical sample can overstate future performance.
Historical frequency, not a validated probability forecast
Sample: 30 games; latest history: 2026-09-12.
Average: 0.83; last five: 0.80.
In this sample: 0 above the line, 30 below, 0 equal. Equal outcomes are separate; sportsbook push/reboot rules vary.
The sample average is 3.67 below the current line. The last-five average is 0.03 below the longer sample average. An average alone does not establish the chance of clearing a line.
Batting opportunity: 3.10 average plate appearances per game. A different lineup spot, pinch-hit role or absence can make this sample less relevant.
Ballpark: Tropicana Field. Fewer than 30 matched prior-season games; no scoring index assigned. A move or renovation can make older park history unrepresentative.
Previous appearances against TB this season: 2026-09-12: 0, 2026-09-11: 1, 2026-07-05: 0, 2026-07-04: 1, 2026-07-03: 0. Average 0.40 TB over 5 games. Small opponent samples are descriptive.
Taylor Trammell vs Freddy Peralta: no recorded regular-season meetings in 2021–2025. No head-to-head edge assigned.
Remaining gaps: current health, weather, confirmed playing time and a validated opponent/park adjustment. Context adds evidence; the historical ranking is unchanged.
Context snapshot built (may use same-day cache): 2026-09-13T03:46:07.897438+00:00
Board copied: 2026-09-12. This is a board-date snapshot, not a live quote.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
Saved sportsbook selection. No model ranking or win probability assigned. Captured 2026-09-13T22:43:32.398538+00:00. Region: New Jersey. Prices and availability can change.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
SOCCER · Stuttgart vs Slovan Bratislava · 2026-10-14
72.1%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
SOCCER · Stuttgart vs Slovan Bratislava · 2026-10-14
16.3%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
SOCCER · Stuttgart vs Slovan Bratislava · 2026-10-14
11.6%market-implied chance
Selection details
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
All three quoted outcomes are included when removing the bookmaker margin. A draw is a losing outcome for either team-win selection; draw selections win only on a regulation draw. This price-based ranking is not an independent prediction.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
This is an offered side, not a model recommendation. Current starting status, minutes, opponent and role have not been verified. No probability estimate is assigned.
Saved on this browser only. Only picks present in this published board appear here. This is a personal shortlist, not a combined probability calculation.
Aggregate performance
Results, with the sample shown
No eligible graded outcomes yet. Results appear after final scores are recorded and this page is republished.
Only picks saved before the recorded start qualify. Ties, voids and pending outcomes are excluded. Outcomes are manually recorded, not independently audited sportsbook results. NFL models, MLB historical screens and moneylines remain separate. Small samples are uncertain; this is not ROI.
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